Designer of Ukko’s interface, Moritz Stefaner, will be speaking at FutureEverything 2016. For tickets, please visit our festival page.
Seasonal wind predictions for the energy sector
Project Ukko is a new climate service for wind energy that breaks new ground in the effort to improve the resilience of society to climate variability and change.
Project Ukko combines cutting edge climate science and data design to communicate forecasts not on the coming days, but over months and seasons. Understanding future wind conditions can become a crucial enabler for clean energy and climate change resilience. Project Ukko is an expert tool for wind energy professionals, named after the Finnish god of the sky, weather and thunder.
First of its kind – designers and scientists answering urgent climate challenge
This is the first time artists, designers and climate scientists have worked together to break new ground in climate services and to develop responses to climate variability and change.
Over 2 years, the art and design company FutureEverything worked with climate scientists from Met Office and the Barcelona Supercomputing Centre to understand the challenge of creating climate services that are useful, usable and effective. They are partners in EUPORIAS, Europe’s flagship project supporting the uptake of climate forecast services. FutureEverything specialises in using art and design to prototype the future. Here Moritz Stefaner joined the team to develop a visualisation to demonstrate the potential of advanced climate predictions in a beautiful and accessible interface.
Launched at the FutureEverything festival in March
Project Ukko will be showcased and officially launched at the FutureEverything festival in Manchester on 30 March – 2 April 2016, alongside debates and events on how an advanced capability to predict future events can reshape our world and the future of resources in a sustainable planet.
The FutureEverything festival will explore the idea that in the 21st century, climate and weather will become resources that need to be managed intelligently and carefully, to ensure resilience to extreme weather events, manage risks linked to climate change, facilitate the transition to a no carbon economy, and secure food for 7 billion people.
Purpose – resilience of society to climate variability and change
The natural environment and human health, infrastructure, food security and access to fresh water are all vulnerable to variations in climate, this presents a hazard and also an opportunity that will increase as the climate changes.
Predictions for the coming months or season can help answer the urgent need to adapt to extreme weather events. The vision for climate services is to enable people and industries affected by the weather and climate to respond to future conditions many months and even years in advance.
A tool answering the needs of wind energy
Designed for the wind energy sector, Project Ukko aims to support wind farm operators and wind energy traders in making decisions, such as when to plan maintenance and where to invest in new wind farms.
In the wind energy sector it is crucial to understand wind conditions in the next few months. The interface presents a novel way to spot patterns in wind predictions around the world. It can be used to explore future wind farm power output, and locate regions likely to see high or low wind speeds or substantial fluctuations.
Climate change pushed society to develop renewable energy but this is less reliable than conventional energy. So it is essential for grid operators to factor wind prediction in the management of a grid in order maintain a perfect balance between demand and production.
Taking advantage of the cutting edge of climate science
Advances in climate science are creating an unprecedented potential to provide climate and weather forecasts for longer periods, over the coming seasons and decades. Recent advances in global climate models that simulate the physical processes that govern the whole climate system demonstrate that the adoption of probabilistic forecasting can improve upon the current methodology at some spatial and temporal scales.
Climate forecasts over these periods come in the shape of complex, probabilistic information. It is notoriously difficult to interpret and to use in day-to-day decision making. Design and visualisation is used in Project Ukko to support users to better understand the future variability in wind power resources, and to explore which regions might experience unusual changes in wind activity in the coming months.
Scientific coordination: Melanie Davis, Isadora Jiménez, Paco Doblas-Reyes, Carlo Buontempo
RESILIENCE seasonal predictions: Veronica Torralba, Nube González-Reviriego, Paco Doblas-Reyes
Based on ECMWF seasonal predictions by RESILIENCE.
Visual identity design: Stefanie Posavec
UI development support: Dominikus Baur
Project management: Tom Rowlands
Wind power capacity data was generously provided by thewindpower.net.
Visit http://www.project-ukko.net to try Project Ukko (designed for industry specialists).
See http://www.project-ukko.net/more-info.html for technical background information.
See http://truth-and-beauty.net/projects/ukko for an overview of the design process.
See http://www.euporias.eu for an overview of the project and its main objectives.
EUPORIAS – blazing a trail for seasonal climate predictions
Project Ukko is a part of EUPORIAS, Europe’s flagship project supporting the uptake of climate forecast services. EUPORIAS is a four-year collaborative project funded by the European commission under the seventh framework programme and led by the Met Office. EUPORIAS commenced on 1 November 2012. The Euporias consortium is made up of 24 partners from across Europe and brings together a wide set of expertise from academia, the private sector and the national met services. EUPORIAS intends to improve our ability to maximise the societal benefit of predicting future environmental conditions.Working in close relation with a number of European stakeholders this project wants to develop a few fully working prototypes of climate services addressing the need of specific users.
Moritz Stefaner works as a “truth and beauty operator” on the crossroads of data visualization, information aesthetics and user interface design. With a background in Cognitive Science (B.Sc. with distinction, University of Osnabrueck) and Interface Design (M.A., University of Applied Sciences Potsdam), his work beautifully balances analytical and aesthetic aspects in mapping abstract and complex phenomena.
In the past, he has helped clients like the OECD, the World Economic Forum, Skype, dpa, FIFA, and Max Planck Research Society to find insights and beauty in large data sets. He was nominated for the Design Award of the Federal Republic of Germany and is a multiple winner of the Kantar Information is Beautiful awards. His work has been exhibited at Venice Biennale of Architecture, SIGGRAPH, Ars Electronica and the Max Planck Science Gallery. He has co-authored books for publishers like O’Reilly and Springer and has spoken and lectured on numerous occasions on the topic of information visualization.
Find his personal portfolio at http://truth-and-beauty.net.
He also publishes the Data Stories podcast together with Enrico Bertini.
Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC)
BSC-CNS (Barcelona Supercomputing Center – Centro Nacional de Supercomputación) is the National Supercomputing Facility in Spain and was officially constituted in April 2005. BSC-CNS manages MareNostrum, one of the most powerful supercomputers in Europe. The mission of BSC-CNS is to investigate, develop and manage information technology in order to facilitate scientific progress. BSC combines HPC service provision and R&D into both computer and computational science (life, earth and engineering sciences) under one roof and currently has over 400 staff from 41 countries.
The aim of the Earth System Services Group (ESS) within the Earth Sciences Department is to demonstrate the ongoing value of climate prediction services, atmospheric composition and weather forecasting to society and the economy. The group actively works in identifying user needs that partly guide research in the Department. The goal is to quantify the impact of weather, climate, aerosols and gaseous pollutants upon socio-economic sectors through the development of user-oriented services. This ensures the transfer of the technology developed and the adaptation to a rapidly changing environment.
IC3 was the original partner in the EUPORIAS project. The Climate Forecasting Unit of IC3 was merged with the Earth Sciences Department of the BSC-CNS in September 2015. All the projects where IC3-CFU was involved have been transferred or are in the process to be transferred to the BSC
The Met Office is the UK’s National Weather Service. It includes the Met Office Hadley Centre (MetO) with 180 employees who specialise in climate research and prediction to inform decision-making. The Met Office employs a total of 510 Scientists. The Met Office is a Trading Fund within the UK Government’s Department for Business, Innovation and Skills. This status engenders a business approach in addition to our R&D activities resulting in successful products and service delivery. The Met Office has developed and delivered climate services within the UK and internationally for many years.